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Guo Xinghao: I think the imported waste paper capacity will continue to expand in the next few years. At present, the waste paper recovery rate in the United States is more than 50%, Europe is more than 55%, Japan is more than 56%, and Finland has the highest recycling rate, which currently reaches 74%. In some countries, although there is a lack of fiber resources, large quantities of commercial pulp and paper are imported each year. However, because of the large amount of consumption and the high recovery rate of waste paper, there are a large number of waste paper exports each year. The most typical is Germany. In 2000, the net import of pulp was 3.873 million tons. Net imports of paper and paperboard were 930 thousand tons, but net exports of waste paper reached 2.578 million tons in the same year. Britain's net exports of waste paper in 2000 were also 427YW. With the attention and standardization of waste paper recycling in various countries, the amount of waste paper recovered will also increase. In addition, the path of imported waste paper will become wider and wider. Now it is mainly imported from the United States, Japan, and Hong Kong. It can also be imported from the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Finland, Austria, etc. In a word, waste paper will not disappear. The problem of high and low prices, but the price is still high but a "waste", isn't it?
Sun Yuming: Waste paper recycling depends on the growth of the global economy, especially the United States and other developed countries. In recent years, the growth rate of these countries will not be too high, about 3%, so that the increase in paper consumption will not be higher than 3%, while the economic growth rate in China is about 8%, so the growth rate of paper consumption is generally If it is higher than 8%, the growth rate of Chinese industry will be about 13%, and the corresponding industrial product packaging will also increase. The output of packaging paper using waste paper as raw material will increase significantly. Due to the poor quality of domestic waste paper and the low recovery rate, a large amount of waste paper still needs to rely on imports, further leading to tight supply and demand, and the possibility of triggering a crisis.
Lin Yiting: At present, the global recycling rate of waste paper is 46%, which is close to its limit and the remaining space is small. According to data, paper and paperboard, which are not recyclable, such as household paper, long-reserved books and other printed matter, and building paperboard, are more realistic. However, Mr. Guo Yongxin stated in his article “Viewing Waste Paper Resources - Problems and Countermeasures†that “at present, nearly 46% of the world's waste paper recycling rate is close to the limit that may be reached.†According to Mr. Guo Yongxin's statistical data, China's waste paper is mainly imported from the United States, Hong Kong, Japan, the Netherlands, France, and Belgium and other countries (regions), and some of these countries (regions) waste paper recovery rate is almost 60%.
In 2001, the waste paper recycling rate in the United States (according to the reduction in export volume as a paperboard and paper board) was 48.7%, Japan was 57.5%, the Netherlands was 72.4%, and Germany was 74.4%. Hong Kong was almost 100% recycling. To further increase the recovery rate, the difficulty will increase, not only will increase the recovery costs, but also relax the recovery standards, is bound to reduce the quality of waste paper. The research results also show that every time waste paper is recycled and used, it will be damaged to varying degrees, such as fiber breakage, crushing, etc. Therefore, there is no much use value after recycling 4-5 times. Therefore, care should be taken when considering waste paper projects. attitude. At present, many paper mills in China mainly use waste paper to produce mid-to-low grade paper and paperboard, which has certain benefits. However, relying too much on waste paper will inevitably push up the price of waste paper. Moreover, the quality requirements for paper and paperboard in the Chinese market are continuously increasing, resulting in high-end paper supply exceeding demand, and a large number of imports. The oversupply of middle- and low-grade paper is difficult. The further development will lead to the survival crisis of a large number of paper mills that use waste paper as their main raw material to produce middle and low grade papers.
Xue Wenming: For the economic development of a few countries, such as the United States and Japan, where waste paper is mainly supplied, its overall economic development level and comprehensive national strength have reached a very high level. In recent years, the development has been slow, and even a negative growth has occurred. This determines its The total amount of waste paper recycling cannot also have much room for growth. The contradiction between the supply and demand of imported waste paper will become more and more prominent. If this contradiction is not solved, it will bring certain crisis to the papermaking industry in China.
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Use of imported waste paper
★ China's imported waste paper is concentrated in a few countries and regions such as the United States, Hong Kong, Japan, and the United States, and from the global waste paper recovery rate has reached 46%, how do you estimate the capacity of imported waste paper, Chinese companies rely too much on imported waste paper, Will it cause a crisis?