Key developments for Thursday, November 19, 2020

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Smart sentiment of the day: When billionaires start growing potatoes, it's a sign that something big is happening. The ultra-wealthy are shifting their focus toward tangible assets, signaling a possible shift in market confidence.

Citibank analysts are cautiously optimistic, suggesting that Bitcoin could see significant growth in the coming year, fueled by increasing institutional interest and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Food insecurity is on the rise in the United States, with over 25% of households with children struggling to put food on the table this year. Globally, the situation has worsened due to the ongoing pandemic, leading to longer lines at food banks and community programs. Here’s a glimpse of what's happening:

Tens of millions of Americans may lose unemployment benefits just after Christmas as key provisions of the CARES Act expire. With nearly 750,000 workers filing for unemployment last week, the labor market remains under severe pressure. For eight consecutive months, weekly jobless claims have exceeded even the worst levels of the Great Depression.

The global COVID-19 crisis continues to escalate, with over 57.1 million confirmed cases worldwide. In just one week, more than 4.1 million new cases were reported, showing no signs of slowing down. The U.S. remains the hardest-hit country, with over 12 million cases and more than 258,000 deaths. Last week alone, the U.S. recorded over 1 million new cases—another record-breaking milestone.

Despite the rising case numbers, people are still traveling, though air travel has dropped to less than half of pre-pandemic levels. It seems that current infection rates aren’t deterring people from flying, much like during the summer or spring.

The transition of power in Washington is stalled, which is affecting the rollout of the national vaccine strategy. Key members of Biden’s advisory team claim they’re being blocked from collaborating with federal officials responsible for vaccine distribution.

A major breakthrough has occurred with the FDA approving the first at-home COVID-19 test, offering greater convenience and accessibility for individuals concerned about testing.

Pfizer’s vaccine has shown impressive results, with efficacy now reaching 95%, and 94% effectiveness in those over 70—a huge relief for vulnerable populations. The company is preparing for an imminent FDA approval.

And just when you thought panic buying was behind us, it's making a comeback. Toilet paper and other essentials are once again disappearing from store shelves:

Meanwhile, Los Alamos National Labs is experiencing a major outbreak, highlighting how the virus continues to spread even in controlled environments. The Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine also shows promise, with strong immune responses observed in older adults.

Hospitals across the U.S. are facing critical staff shortages, with 25 states reporting significant challenges. The Mayo Clinic alone has over 900 employees infected with the virus, and is short 1,000 healthcare professionals to manage the surge in patients.

Improved testing has led to better estimates of the case fatality rate, but many infections remain undetected. Based on current models, we project that 1,800 out of every 100,000 cases will result in death. With over a million new cases reported each week, the potential death toll is staggering. And as hospitals become overwhelmed, these projections may be too low.

California has reinstated a partial lockdown, including a 10pm curfew, as the state grapples with another surge in cases:

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